油价预测和委内瑞拉及其他

周五, 2009-06-19 21:15 — 河北

原油期货2009年新年伊始，我们做了六大预测, 其中3, 原油价格反弹至75美元，看来指日可待（见右图今日为止的近期原油期货走势）。

但是我既没有囤积一升原油，更没有染指一美元的原油期货。说句老实话，预测只是预测，５０％纯属娱乐，５０％表达对硬币两面中一面的倾向罢了。

虚拟经济还真不给实体经济面子。我听从委内瑞拉回来的同事讲，那里的经济情况还"糟糕的很"。同事说委内瑞拉是石油国家，原油每桶６０美元以上，日子非常好，３０～４０美元的日子，那就糟糕了。我们就都疑惑，这石油期货都７０美元了，委内瑞拉人民还没有从坏日子走出来呢？！

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